Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 54.5% on 9 Mar 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 10:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 23.31K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 2.08K |
| jackmala | No | 887.38 |
| Zany-Sprinter | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between Málaga CF and SD Huesca.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-mal-hue-2026-03-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 173.85 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | No | 93.68 |
| Cannae | No | 89.75 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 40.77 |
| Lavincey | No | 30 |
| triklozoid | No | 30 |
