Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 11 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 42% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 42% on 3 Jan 2026. $81.86K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 11 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 11 Jan 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 2.4K |
| Fickle-Mushroom | No | 1K |
| BlindOrangutan | No | 743.26 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, January 11, 2026 between Málaga CF and AD Ceuta FC.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-mal-ceu-2026-01-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 457.46 |
| Staid-Store | No | 400 |
| nzone | No | 212.72 |
| Illiterate-Source | No | 201 |
| yec0003 | No | 119.98 |
| Fallinitheking | No | 100 |
