Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 47% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 21% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 21% on 15 Mar 2026.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 5:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thregd | Yes | 1.03K |
| chickenboy | Yes | 760.55 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 313.72 |
| Cannae | Yes | 197.74 |
| kiddddddd | Yes | 132.1 |
| gdzq888 | Yes | 123.86 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 123 |
| Pocho1530 | Yes | 95.24 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 67 |
| human.bean | Yes | 56.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between CD Leganés and AD Ceuta FC.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-leg-ceu-2026-03-21
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