Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 27% on 6 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 39% on 4 Apr 2026. $60.39K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 11, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 29 Mar 2026 – 10 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zack202020 | No | 4.35K |
| Lilybaeum | No | 506.05 |
| Cannae | No | 278.35 |
| jkls33333jkljh3845kk3hhhh4444 | No | 228.31 |
| Lavincey | No | 171 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.57 |
| musa77 | No | 42.47 |
| FaustianBargain | No | 39.98 |
| Gagalabu2 | No | 30 |
| drop112 | No | 13.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-ceu-rso-2026-04-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
