Analytics
Resolved No on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 28 Apr 2026 and the low 18% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 26% on 3 May 2026. $3.78K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 2:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 27 Apr 2026 – 9 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | 43.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vowing | Yes | 148 |
| KInkony | Yes | 59.03 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Amber Atlas C38C | Yes | 41.5 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour4 | Yes | 30 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 30 |
| ALOJU | Yes | 28.57 |
| Daring-Reveal | Yes | 25 |
| Mjreyes507 | Yes | 20 |
| sunnyboy | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and CD Castellón.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-ceu-cas-2026-05-09
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