
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 28% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 28.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $40.5K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 3:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GoldenAlpha168 | Yes | 2.1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 171.74 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 160.28 |
| Hospitable-Twist | Yes | 104 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and Cádiz CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-ceu-cad-2026-03-28
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| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 100.9 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |
| MqbKcHR90AbdR2 | Yes | 56.13 |
| Lightbornagain | Yes | 51.72 |
| AArbh | Yes | 50.7 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 50 |