Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 16 Mar 2026 and the low 27.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 27.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $26.24K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tjubi | Yes | 407.41 |
| Nippy-Veneer | Yes | 343.54 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 241.79 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 171.74 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 100.9 |
| Pure-Calibre | Yes | 100 |
| PMHedgeFund | Yes | 60 |
| MqbKcHR90AbdR2 | Yes | 56.13 |
| betico | Yes | 55.56 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and Cádiz CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-ceu-cad-2026-03-28
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