Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 41% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 23 Mar 2026 and the low 27% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 28.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $63.56K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Meteor 5301 | Yes | 44.35K |
| DCABC | Yes | 3.01K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.38K |
| YIMS | Yes | 706.9 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 281.78 |
| Cannae | Yes | 205.9 |
| chuck6 | Yes | 177 |
| SpectraView | Yes | 124.56 |
| Davidvaquero00 | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 82.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Thursday, April 2, 2026 between CD Castellón and UD Almería.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-cas-alm-2026-04-02
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