
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 6 Jan 2026 and the low 23% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 12 Jan 2026. $14.01K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 6 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 1.39K |
| lucaspr | Yes | 115.38 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| rolololo007 | Yes | 56.86 |
| djangodekreu | Yes | 50 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 47.99 |
| Rapid Kestrel 7BBD | Yes | 25 |
| BoughtTheTop | Yes | 25 |
| NanciPelo | Yes | 18.18 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 between Burgos CF and SD Huesca.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-bur-hue-2026-01-18
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