Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 47% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 100% on 10 Mar 2026.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 12:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 10 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 47.5% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 2.14K |
| monkeyurl1to1 | No | 670 |
| Lilybaeum | No | 379.63 |
| rox119 | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 9, 2026 If UD Almería wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-alm-leo-2026-03-09
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| rivedogs | No | 50 |
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| Keen Pioneer 020D | No | 11.54 |
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