Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 14 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 45% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 100% on 14 Feb 2026. $71.49K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 3.45K |
| Cannae | No | 1.77K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 1.19K |
| Medical-Evaporation | No | 659.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 13, 2026 If UD Almería wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-alm-and-2026-02-13
| Lunar Raven 21B1 | No | 225.52 |
| Windy-Marsh | No | 118.55 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 107.34 |
| AArbh | No | 40.15 |
| gasshake | No | 36.07 |
| vankaytenkay | No | 29.47 |
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