
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 44.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2025 to 4 Oct 2025, the highest close was 55.5% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 52% on 1 Oct 2025. $12.21K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 4 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 52.5% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sosolo | Yes | 1.1K |
| BET333 | Yes | 968.62 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 880.98 |
| ExG | Yes | 868.92 |
| asdfghjkllkjhgfdsdfgh | Yes | 827.34 |
| Kbr | Yes | 555 |
| leegunner | Yes | 206.85 |
| joohyun | Yes | 191.84 |
| Cosmic Horizon 0238 | Yes | 175.44 |
| avna | Yes | 160.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, October 4, 2025 between Sparta Rotterdam and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-spa-aja-2025-10-04
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