Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 35%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 5 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 65% on 13 Oct 2026. $2.23K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 7:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 5 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tunemahpeak | Yes | 124.29 |
| TastyCheburek | Yes | 109.38 |
| vct2005 | Yes | 93.81 |
| Cosmic Summit FF3E | Yes | 58.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between SC Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior, scheduled for October 16 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both SC Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on eredivisie.nl. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-her1-exc-2026-10-16-more-markets
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 46.23 |
| rivierkreeft | Yes | 22.01 |
| Wewer09 | Yes | 15.38 |
| tinashi1199zz | Yes | 14.8 |
| Silver Atlas FCE0 | Yes | 9.39 |
| felicestigres | Yes | 7.69 |
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