Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 38.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 2 Nov 2025, the highest close was 55% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 38.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 55% on 18 Oct 2025. $55.56K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 2 Nov 2025, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 2 Nov 2025 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CrispyPeppermint | No | 1.16K |
| Pahzek | No | 768.86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 194 |
| robinvanpersie | No | 177 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 2, 2025 If Heracles Almelo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-her-zwo-2025-11-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.8 |
