Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 18 Feb 2026 and the low 26% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 33.5% on 23 Feb 2026.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 9:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | No | 8.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.41K |
| Jaytje | No | 414.99 |
| Zany-Sprinter | No | 200 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 174 |
| yanni123 | No | 144.93 |
| ceeenajohn | No | 121.4 |
| sherifman | No | 121.4 |
| Bekr13 | No | 100.4 |
| asadwq | No | 99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-gro-aja-2026-03-07
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