
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 9:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Hovel | Yes | 2.58K |
| Itwasalladream | Yes | 1.58K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.41K |
| ExtremeMoneyMachine | Yes | 1.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-gro-aja-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.2K |
| kkpay19888 | Yes | 838.76 |
| Valuable-Equal | Yes | 832.54 |
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 689.26 |
| Darling-Markup | Yes | 592.27 |
| didiwu | Yes | 500 |