Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 21 Jan 2026 and the low 48% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 56% on 21 Jan 2026. $208.19K traded over the market's life.
141 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 5 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 4.19K |
| one8tyfive | Yes | 3.83K |
| Torn-Leash | Yes | 3.26K |
| Kdot111 | Yes | 2.08K |
| missa321 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Unlawful-Turf | Yes | 1.35K |
| MR-NO-ONE | Yes | 1K |
| tsma | Yes | 896.73 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 887.61 |
| Slippery-Bracelet | Yes | 740.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Sunday, February 1, 2026 between SBV Excelsior and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-exc-aja-2026-02-01
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