
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 42.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 100% on 15 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | No | 1.63K |
| Awkward-Opposition | Yes | 500 |
| ff3364 | No | 288.89 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | No | 255.97 |
| Cannae | No | 199.39 |
| qTi1E | No | 156 |
| CCBCTCUwLZ | No | 156 |
| Lavincey | No | 121.88 |
| Anxious-Slash | No | 120 |
| antec | No | 119.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between AFC Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam.
Resolution source: https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ere-aja-spa-2026-03-14
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