Analytics
Resolved Under on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 89.5%. The Over side opened at 20.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the low 6% on 14 Oct 2026. $862.24 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gukutrader | Over | 312.36 |
| UpTheBlues | Over | 100 |
| Glittering-Palate | Over | 41.67 |
| Oiiiifuq | Over | 7.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Premier League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC score 4 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Arsenal FC score less than 4 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Arsenal FC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-not-ars-2026-10-18-more-markets
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
