Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 May 2026 and the low 21.9% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22% on 16 May 2026. $2.7K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 12:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 14 May 2026 – 17 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2026 | 21.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Boiling-Dame | Yes | 612.43 |
| Vast-Bratwurst | Yes | 576.67 |
| mountaingreen | Yes | 433.34 |
| mallinsonzac | Yes | 71.04 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| ehonks | Yes | 8.89 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| MonkeyDluffy7 | Yes | 4.55 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 0.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Sesko is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-mun-not-2026-05-17-player-props
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