Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, down 5.5 points from 53% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 19 Oct 2026. The current quote, 47.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 51.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53%.
Manchester United FC is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth”, ahead of AFC Bournemouth at 26.5%.
$2.59K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.09K since listing. The order book holds $40.72K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $310.86 bought Yes and $1.22K bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of No at 50.0¢.
The largest Yes position is VeryLucky888 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is rayvanmechelen with 2K. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 5:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rayvanmechelen | No | 2K |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 1.17K |
| GoalLineGhost | Yes | 208.57 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-mun-bou-2026-10-25
| fathergmit |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| Multicolored-Crest-Understatement | No | 179 |
| 38791873984189 | Yes | 149.2 |
| lbtrading | Yes | 100.87 |
| hortikkk | Yes | 100 |
| alto11 | No | 100 |
| Undisputa | Yes | 84.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
