Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 43 points from 47% when the market opened on 12 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.7% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 4% on 19 Oct 2026.
Neither ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - First Team to Score”. Manchester City FC leads at 62.5%; Aston Villa FC is at 32%.
$102.33 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $8.3K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is OJ530 with 93 shares; the largest No position is e46m3 with 93.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 47.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
In the upcoming match between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-ast-mac-2026-10-24-first-to-score
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing |
| No |
| 9.73 |
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