Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 39% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026.
162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 11:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 39.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Romulodaldon | Yes | 5.71K |
| hike1234552 | Yes | 4.68K |
| Cannae | Yes | 3.96K |
| Rabble99 | Yes | 3.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC.
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-ast-che-2026-03-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.32K |
| nikola17 | Yes | 800.98 |
| MEV-PM | Yes | 735 |
| tradingl | Yes | 714.29 |
| ArbitrageFund | Yes | 707 |
| PMHedgeFund | Yes | 584 |
