
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 23 Feb 2026. $594.7K traded over the market's life.
341 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 23.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.5K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 15.26K |
| Aespafans | Yes | 10.65K |
| Lukelee | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, March 1, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC.
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-ars-che-2026-03-01
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