Analytics
Resolved No on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 May 2026 and the low 26.5% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 26.5% on 16 May 2026. $3.95K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 9:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 14 May 2026 – 18 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 May 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jfjfjfjfjfjf | Yes | 174.36 |
| Bagwell306 | Yes | 170.01 |
| SwissNostradamus | Yes | 105.92 |
| Jerbo | Yes | 88.89 |
| OrokuYoshi | Yes | 24.96 |
| Gokhua | Yes | 22.91 |
| KingRhyze | Yes | 22.22 |
| AntonioC | Yes | 21.28 |
| Unrealistic-Chauffeur | Yes | 21.28 |
| Sociable-Gum | Yes | 11.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Burnley FC, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bukayo Saka is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epl-ars-bur-2026-05-18-player-props
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
