Elsa FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$33.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 22 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 62.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 96.3% on 21 Jan 2026. $33.84K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 8:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Jan 2026	62.5%
22 Jan 2026	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
usdcoin	No	684.89
sw987654321sw	No	239
Cheerful-Salsa	No	213.59
Emerald Pioneer D14A	No	213

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Elsa's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Elsa (https://x.com/HeyElsaAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".