Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 18 Mar 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 22 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.1% on 18 Mar 2026.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 2.81K |
| Decent-Foundation | Yes | 1.25K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 597.1 |
| reddyroo | Yes | 594.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Watford FC and Wrexham AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-wat-wre-2026-03-07
| Sigmasigma333 | Yes | 243.06 |
| human.bean | Yes | 132.06 |
| Best-Refusal | Yes | 120 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 86.47 |
| Shenique | Yes | 59 |
| niceelk | Yes | 57.14 |
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