Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 5 Jan 2026 and the low 43.5% on 25 Jan 2026. $45.17K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 5 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 1.8K |
| Anihazak | Yes | 1K |
| aar8888 | Yes | 256.41 |
| nzone | Yes | 223.88 |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 191.91 |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 156.52 |
| v1cryptopunk | Yes | 111.11 |
| LYFLYF | Yes | 82.13 |
| 62W | Yes | 76.92 |
| Creative-Vine | Yes | 75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, January 31, 2026 between Watford FC and Swansea City AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-wat-swa-2026-01-31
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