
Resolved Yes on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 5 Jan 2026 and the low 25% on 10 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 25% on 10 Jan 2026. $13.53K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 22 Dec 2025 – 17 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | No | 1.43K |
| Cannae | No | 757.15 |
| nzone | No | 588.32 |
| FragMalDenRalle | No | 62.43 |
| CorellianCoder | No | 30 |
| paas2 | No | 30 |
| zhiber | No | 21 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 20 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.45 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026 between Watford FC and Millwall FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-wat-mil-2026-01-17
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