Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 48% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 46% on 18 Mar 2026.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 23 Feb 2026 – 21 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 4.39K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 591.17 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 414.57 |
| Poo-Bum | Yes | 404.42 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Yes | 312.5 |
| Flawless-Masonry | Yes | 204.08 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 179.57 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 155 |
| rox119 | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 66.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Watford FC and Leicester City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-wat-lei-2026-03-21
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