Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 7 Dec 2025 and the low 29.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 34% on 29 Dec 2025. $60.5K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 6 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 7.71K |
| nzone | Yes | 1.7K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 471.91 |
| AwanCici | Yes | 109.22 |
| minmoon | Yes | 90.32 |
| puppyy | Yes | 37.93 |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 23 |
| Blind-Deduce | Yes | 13.33 |
| MartyMcFox | Yes | 5 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Thursday, January 1, 2026 between Watford FC and Birmingham City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-wat-bir-2026-01-01
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
