Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 77% on 9 Mar 2026.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 78.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | No | 787.84 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 513.3 |
| Cannae | No | 388.58 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 301.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Sheffield Wednesday FC and Ipswich Town FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-swe-ips-2026-03-14
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