
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 23 Nov 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Dec 2025. $26.55K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 23 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LiquidatedDegen | Yes | 1.67K |
| Cornelius1 | Yes | 814.23 |
| Instinctive | Yes | 683.61 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 533.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, December 19, 2025 between Swansea City AFC and Wrexham AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-swa-wre-2025-12-19
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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