Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 14 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 33.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jizzbucket57 | Yes | 4.26K |
| CemeterySun | Yes | 1.71K |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 526.3 |
| Markusoe | Yes | 428.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Stoke City FC and Watford FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-sto-wat-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 275.84 |
| TruePrinter | Yes | 257.18 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 55.55 |
| sorar | Yes | 39.47 |
| Excitable-Spec | Yes | 39.47 |
| Giogar | Yes | 25.64 |
