Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 9 Mar 2026 and the low 15% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 19.5% on 18 Mar 2026.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 6:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 23 Feb 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flawless-Masonry | Yes | 315.6 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 174.04 |
| Cannae | Yes | 150 |
| Cylindrical-Stylus | Yes | 28.89 |
| jsmp-b1 | Yes | 15.62 |
| mmori | Yes | 11.76 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| monkeypoli-3 | Yes | 7.18 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 6.62 |
| Feasad | Yes | 6.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Southampton FC and Oxford United FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-sot-oxf-2026-03-21
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