Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68%. Yes opened at 45% on 10 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 10 Nov 2025 to 6 Dec 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 31% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 45% on 20 Nov 2025. $4.91K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 10 Nov 2025 – 6 Dec 2025, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immense-Driver | Yes | 31.25 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, December 6, 2025 between Southampton FC and Birmingham City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-sot-bir-2025-12-06
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