Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 3 Apr 2026, the highest close was 50% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 23% on 23 Mar 2026. $39.97K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 3 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lopux | Yes | 4.99K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.94K |
| Heavy-Boulder | Yes | 903.97 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 312.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Sheffield United FC and Swansea City AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-she-swa-2026-04-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 151.55 |
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| MqbKcHR90AbdR2 | Yes | 57.41 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 56.26 |