Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 28.5% on 11 Mar 2026.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 11:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 490.47 |
| Dimas93 | Yes | 455.91 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 203.07 |
| polesos | Yes | 149.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Monday, March 16, 2026 between Portsmouth FC and Derby County FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-por-der-2026-03-16
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| CorellianCoder | Yes | 129.39 |
| Thomasjpz | Yes | 125 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 115.79 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |
| Arbga2026 | Yes | 69 |
| progambler666 | Yes | 63.33 |