Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 17 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 73 points up, to 100% on 17 Mar 2026.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 1:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 5.47K |
| Lilybaeum | No | 1.26K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 490.47 |
| mortewfenloin | No | 453.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Monday, March 16, 2026 between Portsmouth FC and Derby County FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-por-der-2026-03-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Punisher2022 | No | 323.86 |
| Johnny8886 | No | 236.15 |
| onetwo4ever | No | 200 |
| Weary-Outlay | No | 200 |
| milomidas | No | 185.13 |
| Lavincey | No | 139.53 |
