Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 6 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 6 Apr 2026 and the lowest 32% on 24 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 35% on 21 Apr 2026. $64.57K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 1:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 6 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HongYunX | Yes | 33.39K |
| RN1 | Yes | 2.41K |
| ForDaBooms | Yes | 1K |
| Brisk-Personal | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Portsmouth FC and Birmingham City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-por-bir-2026-05-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 706.33 |
| Calculating-Blow | Yes | 465.12 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 363.8 |
| Well-Groomed-Cockroach | Yes | 238.1 |
| sevendev | Yes | 230 |
| ff3364 | Yes | 167.87 |
