
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30.5% on 14 Oct 2025. $1.65K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 591.41 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 259 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 139 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 21, 2025 between Preston North End FC and Birmingham City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-pne-bir-2025-10-21
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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