Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the low 39% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 56.5% on 2 Apr 2026. $15.87K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 592.74 |
| Lilybaeum | No | 509.16 |
| Jaylo | No | 505 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | No | 394.37 |
| torta.tech | No | 279 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 270.64 |
| alttab | No | 126.27 |
| bettobet365 | No | 110.74 |
| wjnmmmm | No | 60 |
| LynxTitan | No | 40.29 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Oxford United FC and Watford FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-oxf-wat-2026-04-11
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