
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 9 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Nov 2025. $6.08K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 5 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.84K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 926.99 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 562.63 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 463 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 4, 2025 between Oxford United FC and Stoke City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-oxf-sto-2025-11-04
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| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 249 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 67 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 65 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 58 |
| Lunar Beacon AA7B | Yes | 49.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 35 |