Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 38.5% on 14 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 38.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $21.52K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 4 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
| 4 Jan 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.98 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 473.93 |
| zusshun | Yes | 310 |
| aaa.777 | Yes | 100 |
| Circular-Paramecium | Yes | 94.74 |
| Creative-Vine | Yes | 78.27 |
| Likable-Optimisation | Yes | 52.08 |
| Izel | Yes | 42.55 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 31 |
| nzone | Yes | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 4, 2026 If Norwich City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-nor-sto-2026-01-04
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