Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 48% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 56% on 11 Mar 2026.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 535.49 |
| Lilybaeum | No | 168.31 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | No | 154.87 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | No | 145 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 14, 2026 If Norwich City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-nor-pne-2026-03-14
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