Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 4 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 23.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 29.5% on 31 Dec 2025. $10.23K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 4 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 4 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nzone | Yes | 536.54 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 24.2 |
| rxpple | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Sunday, January 4, 2026 between Millwall FC and Swansea City AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-mil-swa-2026-01-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| NS21 | Yes | 16.67 |
| puppyy | Yes | 15.83 |
| EVplusrebate | Yes | 0.66 |
