Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 47.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 100% on 11 Mar 2026.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 11 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 1.24K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 728.99 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 240.5 |
| kkpay19888 | No | 207.55 |
| ff3364 | No | 126.42 |
| Grand-Fabric | No | 83 |
| jLEjXxT | No | 75 |
| leoric064 | No | 74.07 |
| Blaring-Reserve | No | 70 |
| RNGdF6dGdo | No | 66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 10, 2026 between Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-mil-der-2026-03-10
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