Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 41% on 24 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 44% on 9 Dec 2025. $99.66K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 30 Nov 2025 – 26 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 26 Dec 2025 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 6K |
| TnomrealMot | Yes | 697.67 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 432.6 |
| 879csd78 | Yes | 276.92 |
| nzone | Yes | 269.89 |
| Immense-Driver | Yes | 119.05 |
| Song00 | Yes | 75.76 |
| sanek14 | Yes | 33.29 |
| mcpmbase | Yes | 31.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, December 26, 2025 between Leicester City FC and Watford FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-lei-wat-2025-12-26
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