Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 3 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 39.5% on 3 Apr 2026. $122.48K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 4:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 10.85K |
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 8.6K |
| qinlaoban | Yes | 7.84K |
| zhangwen1688 | Yes | 6.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Leicester City FC and Swansea City AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-lei-swa-2026-04-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ff3354 | Yes | 5.88K |
| Pure-Sabre | Yes | 1.95K |
| jarvizz | Yes | 1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 734.28 |
| informationshow | Yes | 600 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 515 |
