Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 34.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 62% on 1 Mar 2026.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 8:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NorthBalticMan9 | Yes | 68.13K |
| jizzbucket57 | Yes | 11K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 892.54 |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 792.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Ipswich Town FC and Leicester City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-ips-lei-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 546.05 |
| Markusoe | Yes | 432.77 |
| pyrex23 | Yes | 271.86 |
| ceejaywhaaa | Yes | 222.22 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 200 |
| krd777 | Yes | 161.29 |